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●PositiveTier 1

Aeroflex Industries LtdNSE:AEROFLEX

Metal Products · ₹6,368 Cr market cap · covered for 2 quarters since Q4 2026

Current view Q1 2027

Makes braided steel hoses plus the cooling skids that circulate coolant through AI data centres. Value-added assemblies are 63% of sales at 22-26% margins against 16-20% for plain hose, and the core plant is only 65% used. But every skid has gone to one Indian intermediary, with no order book.

Latest exchange filings last 5 · 5 after Q1 2027

Exchange filings, with the company's own one-line summary, read off the same page as the figures. Screener publishes only the most recent few, so this is the last 5 — not everything filed since your note, and a quiet-looking list is not proof of a quiet quarter. A filing is marked new when it is dated after the end of the quarter your note covers. Not scored, and not a judgement — a routine repayment notice and a takeover sit in the same list.

How this view changed

Q1 2027 ●Positive Tier 1 this quarter
Q4 2026 ●Positive Tier 1 ✨ AI report ↗
Debt-free maker of industrial metal hoses. Real new engine: cooling units for AI data centres, already 5% of sales and guided to a fifth next year. Management reliably delivers.
SALES
▲+37.3%YoY
+4.1%QoQ
OP PROFIT
▲+59.0%YoY
+6.0%QoQ
EPS
▲+52.9%YoY
+3.9%QoQ
PAT
▲+57.1%YoY
+7.0%QoQ

AI concall report · Q1 2027

The full earnings-call read behind this view — what management promised, what they delivered, and the earning trigger.

✨ Read the report ↗

Growth Q1 2027

Metric This year vs lastYoY · vs Q1 2026 vs the quarter beforeQoQ, sequential · vs Q4 2026 3-year yearly average3Y CAGR · compounded 5-year yearly average5Y CAGR · compounded
Sales▲ +72.6%+15.1%+18.0%+25.1%
Operating profit▲ +120.0%+10.0%+26.4%+36.9%
EPS▲ +158.2%+6.8%+16.7%+9.8%
PAT▲ +171.4%+5.6%——

Tinted rows drive the Tier. Tier = the weaker of YoY Sales and YoY PAT growth. Here the weaker is Sales at +72.6%, which is ≥ 20% → Tier 1.

QoQ is sequential, not a trend. For most Indian companies the March quarter is seasonally the largest, so a June-quarter fall against it is a calendar effect. Only the YoY column feeds the Tier.

Multibagger potential Average57/100

Growing fast — and the market has noticed. Profit per share grew 17% a year, and buyers now pay more for each rupee of it than they did a year ago. Some of the re-pricing has already happened.

Doubling needs a price-tag it has never reached

₹513 → ₹1,027 needs the P/E at 126× — it is 100× today, and has ranged 33× to 120× over the last 5 years. The rest would come from earnings growing as they have.

If this keeps up for 3 more years ×0.8 -20% — profit growing 17% a year, and buyers paying 51× for it again

What you pay for its profitlog scale · 5-year range

33×5-year low 51×usual level 100×today 120×5-year high 126×to double 189×to triple

Tripling needs 189× — never traded above 120× in 5 years.

The Multibaggerearnings climbing and buyers already paying more for them⚠ inflection⚠ absolute stretch
Is it cheap right now?P/E 100× is 1.98× its own 5-year average of 51× — far above it; forward PEG 5.12 — expensive for its growth 0/25
Has the market paid for this growth yet?ΔMultiple ×1.28 a year (×2.12 over 3 years) — re-rate underway — late 2/15
Is the growth real, or flattered?EPS fully backed by sales; QoQ holding 30/30
What does it earn on its own money?earns 15% on its own book — fair 5/10
Is the price trend agreeing?above all three EMAs — accumulation 20/20
Price vs its book value 15.2×P/B — ₹34 of book value per share
Price vs next year’s profit 86×forward P/E — what an entry pays now
Price over the last year ×1.50earnings ×1.17, price-tag ×1.28
At what price this changes
Average from ₹393 to ₹2,053 · now ₹513
below ₹388 → Weak

At ₹259 the price-tag on its earnings reaches the 51× it is being projected toward — the point where being cheap against that yardstick is used up.

Re-rated already, on growth that doesn't fully back it.

How this is calculated

This is arithmetic, not a forecast — Return = ΔEPS × ΔMultiple. It says what would have to be true, not how likely it is, and "earnings keep growing at this rate for three more years" is the assumption doing the most work. This is a small-cap at ₹6,368 cr, so the odds of a re-rate are not fighting its own size.

Growth rate used: 16.7% — the weakest of EPS / Sales / Op-profit from 3-year EPS CAGR. Latest quarter reads 60%.

How it compares with its rivals Metal Products · 6 of 87 listed

It earns 19% on its capital, third of 6, and it is the most expensive of those shown.

Company PriceP/ESizeROCE Profitlast qtr Saleslast qtr
Aeroflex ₹510 100.4× ₹6,742 Cr 18.9% +162.1% +72.4%
Welspun Corp ₹2,600 29.7× ₹68,583 Cr 22.9% +198.6% +14.9%
APL Apollo Tubes ₹2,198 49.7× ₹61,036 Cr 31.8% +10.9% +8.4%
Shyam Metalics ₹1,093 27.2× ₹30,509 Cr 13.0% +18.1% +23.4%
Ratnamani Metals ₹2,792 44.6× ₹19,566 Cr 17.9% −37.7% −15.6%
Jindal Saw ₹293 28.8× ₹18,731 Cr 10.4% −75.4% +9.0%

Screener's own peer group, from the request already made for the industry P/E. It serves the industry's largest names by market cap, not companies of a similar size, so treat this as context rather than a like-for-like table; this company is always shown. On a phone the price, size and sales columns are dropped rather than pushed off the edge. Not part of the score.

Business quality to Jun 2026

Are the margins widening? yes — a little wider than 3 years earlier operating margin 19% → 23% over 3 years
Did the profit turn into cash? most of it, with some tied up 85% last year, 78% over three · free cash flow −₹5 cr, positive in 2 of 5 years
Is the growth borrowed? essentially debt-free ₹9 cr — 0.02× its own equity (was 0.00×)
Is it being collected? collection is steady 107 days to collect, down 6 in a year · cash cycle 112 days
Who has been buying? the promoters have been selling promoters 65.5% (−1.5 in a year), 67.0% → 65.5% over 2.8 years · FIIs 3.6% (+3.2) · DIIs 1.5% (−2.4) · shareholders 94,506 → 1,09,759
What does it earn on its capital? earns a fair return on its capital ROCE 18.9% · ROE 14.1%

Fetched from the filings, not typed — and deliberately not part of the score. These are the questions the score cannot ask: it reads growth, price and trend, so a company can score well while its profit never becomes cash. Weigh these beside the note, not against the number.

Screener's own checklist not mine, not the score

In its favour

  • Company is almost debt free.
  • Company is expected to give good quarter
  • Company has delivered good profit growth of 50.4% CAGR over last 5 years

Against it

  • Stock is trading at 14.9 times its book value

Generated by screener.in from a fixed checklist — not written by me and not an input to the score. It is here as a second machine opinion to weigh against the note; where it disagrees with the view above, the note is the considered one.