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◆ConcernTier 1

Shyam Metalics & Energy LtdNSE:SHYAMMETL

Mining & Minerals · ₹29,324 Cr market cap · covered for 1 quarter since Q4 2026

Current view Q4 2026

Steel sales keep growing fast but profit stayed flat four years while it kept building plants. Latest quarter finally shows profit jumping - a first real hint that spending pays off.

Latest exchange filings last 5 · 5 after Q4 2026

Exchange filings, with the company's own one-line summary, read off the same page as the figures. Screener publishes only the most recent few, so this is the last 5 — not everything filed since your note, and a quiet-looking list is not proof of a quiet quarter. A filing is marked new when it is dated after the end of the quarter your note covers. Not scored, and not a judgement — a routine repayment notice and a takeover sit in the same list.

AI concall report · Q4 2026

The full earnings-call read behind this view — what management promised, what they delivered, and the earning trigger.

✨ Read the report ↗

Growth Q4 2026

Metric This year vs lastYoY · vs Q4 2025 vs the quarter beforeQoQ, sequential · vs Q3 2026 3-year yearly average3Y CAGR · compounded 5-year yearly average5Y CAGR · compounded
Sales▲ +26.6%+18.5%+13.6%+24.1%
Operating profit▲ +41.2%+49.3%+16.5%+12.3%
EPS▲ +45.8%+61.7%+4.7%+1.2%
PAT▲ +41.8%+57.6%——

Tinted rows drive the Tier. Tier = the weaker of YoY Sales and YoY PAT growth. Here the weaker is Sales at +26.6%, which is ≥ 20% → Tier 1.

QoQ is sequential, not a trend. For most Indian companies the March quarter is seasonally the largest, so a June-quarter fall against it is a calendar effect. Only the YoY column feeds the Tier.

Multibagger potential Average64/100

Growing, but too slowly to re-price. Profit per share grew 5% a year. A big re-pricing usually needs more than 15% a year, so the score is capped no matter how cheap it looks.

Doubling needs a price-tag it has reached before

₹1,069 → ₹2,137 needs the P/E at 49× — it is 28× today, and has ranged 8.2× to 62× over the last 5 years. The rest would come from earnings growing as they have.

If this keeps up for 3 more years ×1.8 +79% — profit growing 5% a year, and buyers paying 43× for it again

What you pay for its profitlog scale · 5-year range

8.2×5-year low 28×today 44×usual level 49×to double 62×5-year high 73×to triple

Tripling needs 73× — never traded above 62× in 5 years.

The Multibaggerearnings climbing and buyers already paying more for them⚠ inflection⚠ low growth
Is it cheap right now?P/E 28× is 0.64× its own 5-year average of 43× — well below it; forward PEG 5.70 — expensive for its growth 11/25
Has the market paid for this growth yet?ΔMultiple ×1.29 a year (×2.14 over 3 years) — re-rate underway — late 2/15
Is the growth real, or flattered?EPS fully backed by sales; QoQ holding 30/30
What does it earn on its own money?earns 9% on its own book — thin 2/10
Is the price trend agreeing?above all three EMAs — accumulation 20/20
Price vs its book value 2.6×P/B — ₹413 of book value per share
Price vs next year’s profit 27×forward P/E — what an entry pays now
Price over the last year ×1.35earnings ×1.05, price-tag ×1.29

Re-rated already, on growth that doesn't fully back it.

How this is calculated

This is arithmetic, not a forecast — Return = ΔEPS × ΔMultiple. It says what would have to be true, not how likely it is, and "earnings keep growing at this rate for three more years" is the assumption doing the most work. This is a mid-cap at ₹29,324 cr, so the odds of a re-rate are not fighting its own size.

Band capped: growth of 4.7% is below the 15% bar a re-rate needs.

Growth rate used: 4.7% — the weakest of EPS / Sales / Op-profit from 3-year EPS CAGR. Latest quarter reads 46%.

How it compares with its rivals Mining & Minerals · 6 of 87 listed

It earns 13% on its capital, fifth of 6, and it is the fifth most expensive of the 6 shown.

Company PriceP/ESizeROCE Profitlast qtr Saleslast qtr
Shyam Metalics ₹1,095 27.2× ₹30,572 Cr 13.0% +18.1% +23.4%
Welspun Corp ₹2,598 29.7× ₹68,538 Cr 22.9% +198.6% +14.9%
APL Apollo Tubes ₹2,198 49.7× ₹61,036 Cr 31.8% +10.9% +8.4%
Ratnamani Metals ₹2,756 44.0× ₹19,317 Cr 17.9% −37.7% −15.6%
Jindal Saw ₹292 28.7× ₹18,693 Cr 10.4% −75.4% +9.0%
Godawari Power ₹235 19.3× ₹15,801 Cr 20.5% +2.7% +32.3%

Screener's own peer group, from the request already made for the industry P/E. It serves the industry's largest names by market cap, not companies of a similar size, so treat this as context rather than a like-for-like table; this company is always shown. On a phone the price, size and sales columns are dropped rather than pushed off the edge. Not part of the score.

Business quality to Jun 2026

Are the margins widening? yes — a little wider than 3 years earlier operating margin 12% → 14% over 3 years
Did the profit turn into cash? more than all of it — reserves released cash too 101% last year, 107% over three · free cash flow −₹614 cr, positive in 1 of 5 years
Is the growth borrowed? essentially debt-free ₹1,005 cr — 0.09× its own equity (was 0.07×)
Is it being collected? collection is steady 18 days to collect, down 1 in a year · cash cycle 8 days
Who has been buying? the promoters have held steady promoters 74.6%, 81.6% → 74.6% over 2.8 years · FIIs 3.0% (−0.2) · DIIs 13.8% (+5.0) · shareholders 1,30,019 → 1,00,443
What does it earn on its capital? earns a fair return on its capital ROCE 13.0% · ROE 9.7%

Fetched from the filings, not typed — and deliberately not part of the score. These are the questions the score cannot ask: it reads growth, price and trend, so a company can score well while its profit never becomes cash. Weigh these beside the note, not against the number.

Screener's own checklist not mine, not the score

In its favour

  • Company is almost debt free.

Against it

  • Stock is trading at 2.62 times its book value
  • Company has a low return on equity of 10.2% over last 3 years.
  • Dividend payout has been low at 12.5% of profits over last 3 years

Generated by screener.in from a fixed checklist — not written by me and not an input to the score. It is here as a second machine opinion to weigh against the note; where it disagrees with the view above, the note is the considered one.