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✕NegativeTier 1

Ashapura Minechem LtdNSE:ASHAPURMIN

Mining & Minerals · ₹4,911 Cr market cap · covered for 1 quarter since Q4 2026

Current view Q4 2026

Sales nearly doubled as its West Africa bauxite mine ramped up. But profit per tonne halved when bauxite prices crashed - strong volumes, yet earnings swing wildly with commodity prices.

Latest exchange filings last 5 · 5 after Q4 2026

Exchange filings, with the company's own one-line summary, read off the same page as the figures. Screener publishes only the most recent few, so this is the last 5 — not everything filed since your note, and a quiet-looking list is not proof of a quiet quarter. A filing is marked new when it is dated after the end of the quarter your note covers. Not scored, and not a judgement — a routine repayment notice and a takeover sit in the same list.

AI concall report · Q4 2026

The full earnings-call read behind this view — what management promised, what they delivered, and the earning trigger.

✨ Read the report ↗

Growth Q4 2026

Metric This year vs lastYoY · vs Q4 2025 vs the quarter beforeQoQ, sequential · vs Q3 2026 3-year yearly average3Y CAGR · compounded 5-year yearly average5Y CAGR · compounded
Sales▲ +254.8%+105.1%+42.0%+35.5%
Operating profit▲ +52.4%+12.3%+35.4%+26.4%
EPS▲ +28.1%+31.4%+48.7%+33.1%
PAT▲ +53.2%+59.2%——

Tinted rows drive the Tier. Tier = the weaker of YoY Sales and YoY PAT growth. Here the weaker is PAT at +53.2%, which is ≥ 20% → Tier 1.

QoQ is sequential, not a trend. For most Indian companies the March quarter is seasonally the largest, so a June-quarter fall against it is a calendar effect. Only the YoY column feeds the Tier.

Multibagger potential Good70/100

⚠ Your own view on this company is Negative. Read the note above first — this score reads the figures, and it has not read the concall.

Cheap, and growing fast. Profit per share grew 49% a year, while the price-tag on its earnings actually got smaller. That gap — real growth nobody has paid up for — is exactly what this score looks for.

It could double even as the price-tag on its earnings shrinks

₹503 → ₹1,005 needs the P/E at 7.3× — it is 12× today, and has ranged 11× to 112× over the last 5 years. The rest would come from earnings growing as they have.

If this keeps up for 3 more years ×4.1 +307% — profit growing 49% a year, and buyers paying 15× for it again

What you pay for its profitlog scale · 5-year range

7.3×to double 11×5-year low 11×to triple 12×today 45×usual level 112×5-year high

Tripling needs 11× — inside its 5-year range, under the 45× median.

The Treadmillearnings climbing while the price-tag on them has not — no re-rating yet⚠ falling knife
Is it cheap right now?P/E 12× is 0.81× its own 5-year average of 15× — below it; forward PEG 0.17 — very cheap for its growth 19/25
Has the market paid for this growth yet?ΔMultiple ×0.81 a year (×0.53 over 3 years) — mostly unpaid 13/15
Is the growth real, or flattered?EPS fully backed by sales; QoQ holding 30/30
What does it earn on its own money?earns 24% on its own book — good 8/10
Is the price trend agreeing?below all three EMAs — falling knife 0/20
Price vs its book value 2.9×P/B — ₹173 of book value per share
Price vs next year’s profit 8.0×forward P/E — what an entry pays now
Price over the last year ×1.20earnings ×1.49, price-tag ×0.81
At what price this changes
Good from ₹378 to ₹563 · now ₹503
above ₹568 → Strong  ·  below ₹373 → Strong

At ₹622 the price-tag on its earnings reaches the 15× it is being projected toward — the point where being cheap against that yardstick is used up.

De-rating while below every EMA — value-trap risk, not a coiled spring.

How this is calculated

This is arithmetic, not a forecast — Return = ΔEPS × ΔMultiple. It says what would have to be true, not how likely it is, and "earnings keep growing at this rate for three more years" is the assumption doing the most work. This is a small-cap at ₹4,911 cr, so the odds of a re-rate are not fighting its own size.

Growth rate used: 48.7% — the weakest of EPS / Sales / Op-profit from 3-year EPS CAGR. Latest quarter reads 28%.

How it compares with its rivals Mining & Minerals · 6 of 12 listed

It earns 21% on its capital, third of 6, and it is the fifth most expensive of the 6 shown.

Company PriceP/ESizeROCE Profitlast qtr Saleslast qtr
Ashapura Minech. ₹525 12.2× ₹5,015 Cr 20.7% +5.0% +19.2%
Lloyds Metals ₹1,822 21.5× ₹1.03 L Cr 27.3% +169.1% +208.6%
NMDC ₹81 9.5× ₹70,906 Cr 27.6% +0.4% +0.8%
G M D C ₹554 30.9× ₹17,616 Cr 10.8% −0.2% +23.8%
Gravita India ₹1,587 29.8× ₹11,717 Cr 17.0% +14.1% +41.8%
MOIL ₹244 16.3× ₹4,956 Cr 12.4% +70.1% +6.6%

Screener's own peer group, from the request already made for the industry P/E. It serves the industry's largest names by market cap, not companies of a similar size, so treat this as context rather than a like-for-like table; this company is always shown. On a phone the price, size and sales columns are dropped rather than pushed off the edge. Not part of the score.

Business quality to Jun 2026

Are the margins widening? broadly flat operating margin 11% → 11% over 3 years
Did the profit turn into cash? most of it, with some tied up 88% last year, 75% over three · free cash flow ₹184 cr, positive in 1 of 5 years
Is the growth borrowed? borrowed about as much as it owns ₹1,444 cr — 0.88× its own equity (was 0.94×)
Is it being collected? collection is steady 70 days to collect, down 3 in a year · cash cycle −22 days
Who has been buying? the promoters have held steady promoters 48.0% (+0.3 in a year), 45.3% → 48.0% over 2.8 years · FIIs 19.2% (+2.8) · DIIs 0.4% (+0.1) · shareholders 27,466 → 47,193
What does it earn on its capital? earns a high return on the capital it employs ROCE 20.7% · ROE 28.0%

Fetched from the filings, not typed — and deliberately not part of the score. These are the questions the score cannot ask: it reads growth, price and trend, so a company can score well while its profit never becomes cash. Weigh these beside the note, not against the number.

Screener's own checklist not mine, not the score

In its favour

  • Company is expected to give good quarter
  • Company has delivered good profit growth of 43.0% CAGR over last 5 years
  • Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 27.0%

Against it

  • Tax rate seems low

Generated by screener.in from a fixed checklist — not written by me and not an input to the score. It is here as a second machine opinion to weigh against the note; where it disagrees with the view above, the note is the considered one.