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◆ConcernTier 1↕ from Watch

Kernex Microsystems (India) LtdNSE:KERNEX

Railways · ₹2,754 Cr market cap · covered for 2 quarters since Q4 2026

Current view Q1 2027

Supplies Kavach, the anti-collision braking system, to Indian Railways as one of only three RDSO-approved makers, on an ₹4,150 cr order book worth ten years of sales. The reported numbers look good but the balance sheet does not: operating cash flow is negative and widening, debtor days keep rising, and interest has gone from ₹3 cr to ₹13 cr. Whatever profit it earns is not converting to cash. The 45x peak multiple has at least corrected to 15x.

Latest exchange filings last 5 · 5 after Q1 2027

Exchange filings, with the company's own one-line summary, read off the same page as the figures. Screener publishes only the most recent few, so this is the last 5 — not everything filed since your note, and a quiet-looking list is not proof of a quiet quarter. A filing is marked new when it is dated after the end of the quarter your note covers. Not scored, and not a judgement — a routine repayment notice and a takeover sit in the same list.

How this view changed

Q1 2027 ◆Concern Tier 1 ↕ from Watch this quarter
Q4 2026 ◐Watch Tier 1 ✨ AI report ↗
Makes railway anti-collision Kavach systems; one of three approved suppliers. A 4,150 crore order book drove sales up over 120% - but operating cash flow is deeply negative, debt is rising and the stock is pricey.
SALES
▲+206.5%YoY
+250.7%QoQ
OP PROFIT
▲+514.0%YoY
+526.1%QoQ
EPS
▲+108.9%YoY
+1031.8%QoQ
PAT
▲+109.5%YoY
+1030.1%QoQ

AI concall report · Q1 2027

The full earnings-call read behind this view — what management promised, what they delivered, and the earning trigger.

✨ Read the report ↗

Growth Q1 2027

Metric This year vs lastYoY · vs Q1 2026 vs the quarter beforeQoQ, sequential · vs Q4 2026 3-year yearly average3Y CAGR · compounded 5-year yearly average5Y CAGR · compounded
Sales▲ +800.0%+97.7%+375.5%+88.6%
Operating profit▲ +1153.8%+55.2%+127.0%+97.7%
EPS▲ +1369.0%+60.9%+79.0%+100.6%
PAT▲ +1471.4%+61.8%——

Tinted rows drive the Tier. Tier = the weaker of YoY Sales and YoY PAT growth. Here the weaker is Sales at +800.0%, which is ≥ 20% → Tier 1.

QoQ is sequential, not a trend. For most Indian companies the March quarter is seasonally the largest, so a June-quarter fall against it is a calendar effect. Only the YoY column feeds the Tier.

Multibagger potential Strong86/100

⚠ Your own view on this company is Concern. Read the note above first — this score reads the figures, and it has not read the concall.

Cheap, and growing fast. Profit per share grew 60% a year, while the price-tag on its earnings actually got smaller. That gap — real growth nobody has paid up for — is exactly what this score looks for.

It could double even as the price-tag on its earnings shrinks

₹1,714 → ₹3,428 needs the P/E at 7.4× — it is 15× today, and has ranged 17× to 245× over the last 5 years. The rest would come from earnings growing as they have.

If this keeps up for 3 more years ×10.9 +993% — profit growing 60% a year, and buyers paying 40× for it again

What you pay for its profitlog scale · 5-year range

7.4×to double 11×to triple 15×today 17×5-year low 40×usual level 245×5-year high

Tripling needs 11× — below anything it traded at in 5 years.

The Treadmillearnings climbing while the price-tag on them has not — no re-rating yet
Is it cheap right now?P/E 15× is 0.37× its own 5-year average of 40× — deeply below it; forward PEG 0.16 — very cheap for its growth 25/25
Has the market paid for this growth yet?ΔMultiple ×0.98 a year (×0.94 over 3 years) — slight de-rate 10/15
Is the growth real, or flattered?EPS fully backed by sales; QoQ holding 28/30
What does it earn on its own money?earns 77% on its own book — high 10/10
Is the price trend agreeing?above 40W, below the shorter EMAs 13/20
Price vs its book value 11.6×P/B — ₹148 of book value per share
Price vs next year’s profit 9.4×forward P/E — what an entry pays now
Price over the last year ×1.57earnings ×1.60, price-tag ×0.98
At what price this changes
Strong from ₹1,663 to ₹5,437 · now ₹1,714
above ₹5,454 → Good  ·  below ₹1,646 → Good

At ₹4,574 the price-tag on its earnings reaches the 40× it is being projected toward — the point where being cheap against that yardstick is used up.

Earnings delivered, market hasn't paid yet. The pre-re-rate zone — read the concall.

How this is calculated

This is arithmetic, not a forecast — Return = ΔEPS × ΔMultiple. It says what would have to be true, not how likely it is, and "earnings keep growing at this rate for three more years" is the assumption doing the most work. This is a small-cap at ₹2,754 cr, so the odds of a re-rate are not fighting its own size.

Growth rate used: 60.0% — the weakest of EPS / Sales / Op-profit from 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 60%. Latest quarter reads 60%.

How it compares with its rivals Railways · 2 shown

It earns 48% on its capital, more than any of them — the next best earns 13%, and it is the cheapest of those shown.

Company PriceP/ESizeROCE Profitlast qtr Saleslast qtr
Kernex Microsys. ₹1,726 15.2× ₹2,900 Cr 47.8% +1372.5% +800.4%
Blackbuck ₹637 67.6× ₹11,602 Cr 12.8% +25.1% +42.2%

Screener's own peer group, from the request already made for the industry P/E. It serves the industry's largest names by market cap, not companies of a similar size, so treat this as context rather than a like-for-like table; this company is always shown. On a phone the price, size and sales columns are dropped rather than pushed off the edge. Not part of the score.

Business quality to Jun 2026

Are the margins widening? wider, but it has moved around a lot operating margin -52% → 32% over 3 years
Did the profit turn into cash? most of it arrived as cash -65% last year, 94% over three · free cash flow −₹107 cr, positive in 2 of 5 years
Is the growth borrowed? borrowed about as much as it owns ₹162 cr — 0.65× its own equity (was 0.25×)
Is it being collected? customers are taking longer to pay 268 days to collect, up 223 in a year · cash cycle 117 days
Who has been buying? the promoters have held steady promoters 28.7% (−0.2 in a year), 31.6% → 28.7% over 2.8 years · FIIs 2.5% (+2.0) · DIIs 0.1% (−1.1) · shareholders 14,660 → 41,803
What does it earn on its capital? earns a high return on the capital it employs ROCE 47.8% · ROE 43.5%

Fetched from the filings, not typed — and deliberately not part of the score. These are the questions the score cannot ask: it reads growth, price and trend, so a company can score well while its profit never becomes cash. Weigh these beside the note, not against the number.

Screener's own checklist not mine, not the score

In its favour

  • Company has delivered good profit growth of 116% CAGR over last 5 years
  • Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 26.1%
  • Company's median sales growth is 15.8% of last 10 years

Against it

  • Stock is trading at 11.5 times its book value
  • Though the company is reporting repeated profits, it is not paying out dividend
  • Promoter holding is low: 28.7%
  • Company has high debtors of 268 days.

Generated by screener.in from a fixed checklist — not written by me and not an input to the score. It is here as a second machine opinion to weigh against the note; where it disagrees with the view above, the note is the considered one.