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✕NegativeTier 1

Nestle India LtdNSE:NESTLEIND

FMCG · ₹2.68 L Cr market cap · covered for 1 quarter since Q4 2026

Current view Q4 2026

Maggi-and-Nescafe giant just posted its best sales quarter in a decade, driven by selling more in small towns plus premium products. Steady record, but a new outsider CEO is unproven.

Latest exchange filings last 5 · 5 after Q4 2026

Exchange filings, with the company's own one-line summary, read off the same page as the figures. Screener publishes only the most recent few, so this is the last 5 — not everything filed since your note, and a quiet-looking list is not proof of a quiet quarter. A filing is marked new when it is dated after the end of the quarter your note covers. Not scored, and not a judgement — a routine repayment notice and a takeover sit in the same list.

AI concall report · Q4 2026

The full earnings-call read behind this view — what management promised, what they delivered, and the earning trigger.

✨ Read the report ↗

Growth Q4 2026

Metric This year vs lastYoY · vs Q4 2025 vs the quarter beforeQoQ, sequential · vs Q3 2026 3-year yearly average3Y CAGR · compounded 5-year yearly average5Y CAGR · compounded
Sales▲ +22.6%+19.1%+8.9%+11.6%
Operating profit▲ +28.5%+49.7%+7.7%+9.8%
EPS▲ +27.1%+11.2%+7.1%+10.6%
PAT▲ +27.3%+11.3%——

Tinted rows drive the Tier. Tier = the weaker of YoY Sales and YoY PAT growth. Here the weaker is Sales at +22.6%, which is ≥ 20% → Tier 1.

QoQ is sequential, not a trend. For most Indian companies the March quarter is seasonally the largest, so a June-quarter fall against it is a calendar effect. Only the YoY column feeds the Tier.

Multibagger potential Average54/100

Growing, but too slowly to re-price. Profit per share grew 7% a year. A big re-pricing usually needs more than 15% a year, so the score is capped no matter how cheap it looks.

Doubling needs a price-tag it has never reached

₹1,346 → ₹2,692 needs the P/E at 121× — it is 74× today, and has ranged 61× to 89× over the last 5 years. The rest would come from earnings growing as they have.

If this keeps up for 3 more years ×1.3 +30% — profit growing 7% a year, and buyers paying 79× for it again

What you pay for its profitlog scale · 5-year range

61×5-year low 74×today 79×usual level 89×5-year high 121×to double 181×to triple

Tripling needs 181× — never traded above 89× in 5 years.

The Multibaggerearnings climbing and buyers already paying more for them⚠ low growth⚠ size is the headwind
Is it cheap right now?P/E 74× is 0.94× its own 5-year average of 79× — below it; forward PEG 9.74 — expensive for its growth 8/25
Has the market paid for this growth yet?ΔMultiple ×1.00 a year (×1.01 over 3 years) — multiple flat 6/15
Is the growth real, or flattered?EPS fully backed by sales; QoQ holding 30/30
What does it earn on its own money?earns 68% on its own book — high 10/10
Is the price trend agreeing?below all three EMAs — falling knife 0/20
Price vs its book value 50.4×P/B — ₹27 of book value per share
Price vs next year’s profit 69×forward P/E — what an entry pays now
Price over the last year ×1.07earnings ×1.07, price-tag ×1.00

Re-rated already, on growth that doesn't fully back it.

How this is calculated

This is arithmetic, not a forecast — Return = ΔEPS × ΔMultiple. It says what would have to be true, not how likely it is, and "earnings keep growing at this rate for three more years" is the assumption doing the most work. This is a mega-cap at ₹2,68,279 cr — size is the headwind here: a triple means the market finding ₹5,36,558 cr of new value.

Band capped: growth of 7.1% is below the 15% bar a re-rate needs.

Growth rate used: 7.1% — the weakest of EPS / Sales / Op-profit from 3-year EPS CAGR. Latest quarter reads 27%.

How it compares with its rivals FMCG · 6 of 27 listed

These are the industry's largest names rather than companies of its own size, so the columns are worth reading straight across — a ranking against them would only be restating the size gap.

Company PriceP/ESizeROCE Profitlast qtr Saleslast qtr
Nestle India ₹1,342 69.8× ₹2.59 L Cr 85.3% +49.0% +25.2%
Britannia Inds. ₹5,004 46.3× ₹1.21 L Cr 56.0% +13.6% +8.2%
Zydus Wellness ₹519 74.5× ₹16,516 Cr 4.9% −7.0% +66.9%
Bikaji Foods ₹552 49.9× ₹13,837 Cr 22.0% +2.2% +8.7%
The Bombay Burmah ₹1,474 8.3× ₹10,284 Cr 33.0% +17.5% +8.0%
Mrs Bectors ₹219 52.1× ₹6,726 Cr 12.9% +41.8% +15.7%

Screener's own peer group, from the request already made for the industry P/E. It serves the industry's largest names by market cap, not companies of a similar size, so treat this as context rather than a like-for-like table; this company is always shown. On a phone the price, size and sales columns are dropped rather than pushed off the edge. Not part of the score.

Business quality to Jun 2026

Are the margins widening? broadly flat operating margin 24% → 24% over 2.5 years
Did the profit turn into cash? most of it arrived as cash 116% last year, 98% over three · free cash flow ₹4,221 cr, positive in 3 of 3 years
Is the growth borrowed? essentially debt-free ₹444 cr — 0.09× its own equity (was 0.29×)
Is it being collected? collection is steady 5 days to collect, down 2 in a year · cash cycle −19 days
Who has been buying? the promoters have held steady promoters 62.8%, 62.8% → 62.8% over 2.8 years · FIIs 10.3% · DIIs 11.9% (+0.7) · shareholders 1,84,090 → 4,79,696
What does it earn on its capital? earns a high return on the capital it employs ROCE 85.3% · ROE 74.2%

Fetched from the filings, not typed — and deliberately not part of the score. These are the questions the score cannot ask: it reads growth, price and trend, so a company can score well while its profit never becomes cash. Weigh these beside the note, not against the number.

Screener's own checklist not mine, not the score

In its favour

  • Company has reduced debt.
  • Company is almost debt free.
  • Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 89.6%
  • Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 75.4%

Against it

  • Stock is trading at 51.7 times its book value

Generated by screener.in from a fixed checklist — not written by me and not an input to the score. It is here as a second machine opinion to weigh against the note; where it disagrees with the view above, the note is the considered one.