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✕NegativeTier 1

Hindustan Zinc LtdNSE:HINDZINC

Mining & Minerals · ₹2.40 L Cr market cap · covered for 1 quarter since Q4 2026

Current view Q4 2026

Record profits, but nearly half now ride on a silver-price boom that could reverse. Costs are world-class, yet the promised silver-output growth keeps falling short.

Latest exchange filings last 5 · 5 after Q4 2026

Exchange filings, with the company's own one-line summary, read off the same page as the figures. Screener publishes only the most recent few, so this is the last 5 — not everything filed since your note, and a quiet-looking list is not proof of a quiet quarter. A filing is marked new when it is dated after the end of the quarter your note covers. Not scored, and not a judgement — a routine repayment notice and a takeover sit in the same list.

AI concall report · Q4 2026

The full earnings-call read behind this view — what management promised, what they delivered, and the earning trigger.

✨ Read the report ↗

Growth Q4 2026

Metric This year vs lastYoY · vs Q4 2025 vs the quarter beforeQoQ, sequential · vs Q3 2026 3-year yearly average3Y CAGR · compounded 5-year yearly average5Y CAGR · compounded
Sales▲ +49.0%+23.4%+6.2%+12.5%
Operating profit▲ +59.9%+27.3%+7.1%+11.4%
EPS▲ +67.5%+28.5%+9.6%+11.6%
PAT▲ +67.6%+28.5%——

Tinted rows drive the Tier. Tier = the weaker of YoY Sales and YoY PAT growth. Here the weaker is Sales at +49.0%, which is ≥ 20% → Tier 1.

QoQ is sequential, not a trend. For most Indian companies the March quarter is seasonally the largest, so a June-quarter fall against it is a calendar effect. Only the YoY column feeds the Tier.

Multibagger potential Average64/100

Growing, but too slowly to re-price. Profit per share grew 10% a year. A big re-pricing usually needs more than 15% a year, so the score is capped no matter how cheap it looks.

Doubling needs a price-tag it has reached before

₹573 → ₹1,146 needs the P/E at 27× — it is 18× today, and has ranged 10× to 40× over the last 5 years. The rest would come from earnings growing as they have.

If this keeps up for 3 more years ×1.2 +20% — profit growing 10% a year, and buyers paying 16× for it again

What you pay for its profitlog scale · 5-year range

10×5-year low 16×usual level 18×today 27×to double 40×to triple 40×5-year high

Tripling needs 40× — it has traded there — high was 40×.

The Multibaggerearnings climbing and buyers already paying more for them⚠ inflection⚠ low growth⚠ size is the headwind
Is it cheap right now?P/E 18× is 1.09× its own 5-year average of 16× — about level with it; forward PEG 1.67 — dear for its growth 12/25
Has the market paid for this growth yet?ΔMultiple ×1.16 a year (×1.58 over 3 years) — multiple flat 6/15
Is the growth real, or flattered?mostly sales-backed; QoQ holding 26/30
What does it earn on its own money?earns 61% on its own book — high 10/10
Is the price trend agreeing?above 40W, below the shorter EMAs 13/20
Price vs its book value 10.7×P/B — ₹54 of book value per share
Price vs next year’s profit 16×forward P/E — what an entry pays now
Price over the last year ×1.28earnings ×1.10, price-tag ×1.16

Re-rated already, on growth that doesn't fully back it.

How this is calculated

This is arithmetic, not a forecast — Return = ΔEPS × ΔMultiple. It says what would have to be true, not how likely it is, and "earnings keep growing at this rate for three more years" is the assumption doing the most work. This is a mega-cap at ₹2,40,145 cr — size is the headwind here: a triple means the market finding ₹4,80,290 cr of new value.

Band capped: growth of 9.6% is below the 15% bar a re-rate needs.

Growth rate used: 9.6% — the weakest of EPS / Sales / Op-profit from 3-year EPS CAGR. Latest quarter reads 60%.

How it compares with its rivals Mining & Minerals · 2 shown

These are the industry's largest names rather than companies of its own size, so the columns are worth reading straight across — a ranking against them would only be restating the size gap.

Company PriceP/ESizeROCE Profitlast qtr Saleslast qtr
Hindustan Zinc ₹588 14.6× ₹2.48 L Cr 69.5% +144.8% +76.9%
Sizemasters Tech ₹363 100.9× ₹363 Cr 24.3% −38.5% +40.0%

Screener's own peer group, from the request already made for the industry P/E. It serves the industry's largest names by market cap, not companies of a similar size, so treat this as context rather than a like-for-like table; this company is always shown. On a phone the price, size and sales columns are dropped rather than pushed off the edge. Not part of the score.

Business quality to Jun 2026

Are the margins widening? yes — widening, and steadily operating margin 46% → 59% over 3 years
Did the profit turn into cash? more than all of it — reserves released cash too 98% last year, 103% over three · free cash flow ₹11,746 cr, positive in 5 of 5 years
Is the growth borrowed? lightly borrowed ₹8,728 cr — 0.39× its own equity (was 0.82×)
Is it being collected? collection is steady 4 days to collect, up 3 in a year · cash cycle 4 days
Who has been buying? the promoters have been selling promoters 60.7% (−1.1 in a year), 64.9% → 60.7% over 2.8 years · FIIs 2.2% (+0.8) · DIIs 5.0% (+0.1) · shareholders 3,75,833 → 9,18,245
What does it earn on its capital? earns a high return on the capital it employs ROCE 69.5% · ROE 76.6%

Fetched from the filings, not typed — and deliberately not part of the score. These are the questions the score cannot ask: it reads growth, price and trend, so a company can score well while its profit never becomes cash. Weigh these beside the note, not against the number.

Screener's own checklist not mine, not the score

In its favour

  • Company has reduced debt.
  • Company is expected to give good quarter
  • Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 69.0%

Against it

  • Stock is trading at 11.0 times its book value
  • Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -4.21%

Generated by screener.in from a fixed checklist — not written by me and not an input to the score. It is here as a second machine opinion to weigh against the note; where it disagrees with the view above, the note is the considered one.