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◆ConcernTier 1

Sobha LtdNSE:SOBHA

Real Estate Developer · ₹12,659 Cr market cap · covered for 1 quarter since Q1 2027

Current view Q1 2027

Bengaluru housebuilder that owns its own construction arm. ₹20,553 cr of homes sold sits outside the profit account awaiting occupancy certificates, carrying 30%+ project margin against the 6% reported. That margin has been promised on five straight calls since Feb 2024, and collections grew 10% against pre-sales up 76%.

Latest exchange filings last 5 · 5 after Q1 2027

Exchange filings, with the company's own one-line summary, read off the same page as the figures. Screener publishes only the most recent few, so this is the last 5 — not everything filed since your note, and a quiet-looking list is not proof of a quiet quarter. A filing is marked new when it is dated after the end of the quarter your note covers. Not scored, and not a judgement — a routine repayment notice and a takeover sit in the same list.

AI concall report · Q1 2027

The full earnings-call read behind this view — what management promised, what they delivered, and the earning trigger.

✨ Read the report ↗

Growth Q1 2027

Metric This year vs lastYoY · vs Q1 2026 vs the quarter beforeQoQ, sequential · vs Q4 2026 3-year yearly average3Y CAGR · compounded 5-year yearly average5Y CAGR · compounded
Sales▲ +50.0%−35.7%+16.2%+19.7%
Operating profit▲ +225.0%−48.7%+2.9%−7.8%
EPS▲ +274.8%−44.6%+22.9%+25.5%
PAT▲ +264.3%−44.6%——

Tinted rows drive the Tier. Tier = the weaker of YoY Sales and YoY PAT growth. Here the weaker is Sales at +50.0%, which is ≥ 20% → Tier 1.

QoQ is sequential, not a trend. For most Indian companies the March quarter is seasonally the largest, so a June-quarter fall against it is a calendar effect. Only the YoY column feeds the Tier.

Multibagger potential Weak40/100

Cheap, and growing fast. Profit per share grew 23% a year, while the price-tag on its earnings actually got smaller. That gap — real growth nobody has paid up for — is exactly what this score looks for.

No forward view — no multiple to re-rate toward is recorded.

The Treadmillearnings climbing while the price-tag on them has not — no re-rating yet⚠ inflection⚠ falling knife⚠ judged on book value
Is it cheap right now?P/B 2.8× — a fair premium to book; earnings are lumpy in this sector so P/E is set aside 14/25
Has the market paid for this growth yet?ΔMultiple ×0.98 a year (×0.94 over 3 years) — slight de-rate 10/15
Is the growth real, or flattered?QoQ collapsed — a spike, not a trend; mostly sales-backed 16/30
What does it earn on its own money?earns only 5% on its own book 0/10
Is the price trend agreeing?below all three EMAs — falling knife 0/20
Price vs its book value 2.8×P/B — ₹441 of book value per share
Price vs next year’s profit 46×forward P/E — what an entry pays now
Price over the last year ×1.20earnings ×1.23, price-tag ×0.98
At what price this changes
Weak from ₹451 to ₹1,351 · now ₹1,219
above ₹1,363 → Average  ·  below ₹439 → Average

At ₹1,702 the price-tag on its earnings reaches the 79× it is being projected toward — the point where being cheap against that yardstick is used up.

De-rating while below every EMA — value-trap risk, not a coiled spring.

How this is calculated

Growth rate used: 22.9% — the weakest of EPS / Sales / Op-profit from 3-year EPS CAGR. Latest quarter reads 60%.

How it compares with its rivals Real Estate Developer · 6 of 92 listed

These are the industry's largest names rather than companies of its own size, so the columns are worth reading straight across — a ranking against them would only be restating the size gap.

Company PriceP/ESizeROCE Profitlast qtr Saleslast qtr
Sobha ₹1,224 56.7× ₹13,088 Cr 6.9% +273.4% +50.0%
DLF ₹650 37.4× ₹1.61 L Cr 6.3% +4.1% −52.9%
Lodha Developers ₹1,144 27.7× ₹1.14 L Cr 16.4% +103.4% +43.1%
Phoenix Mills ₹1,907 52.6× ₹68,223 Cr 12.4% +23.3% +12.8%
Oberoi Realty ₹1,752 24.1× ₹63,703 Cr 17.3% +29.0% +31.7%
Prestige Estates ₹1,468 55.5× ₹63,240 Cr 10.4% −19.4% +15.9%

Screener's own peer group, from the request already made for the industry P/E. It serves the industry's largest names by market cap, not companies of a similar size, so treat this as context rather than a like-for-like table; this company is always shown. On a phone the price, size and sales columns are dropped rather than pushed off the edge. Not part of the score.

Business quality to Jun 2026

Are the margins widening? broadly flat operating margin 7% → 6% over 3 years
Did the profit turn into cash? more than all of it — reserves released cash too 213% last year, 199% over three · free cash flow ₹224 cr, positive in 5 of 5 years
Is the growth borrowed? lightly borrowed ₹1,057 cr — 0.22× its own equity (was 0.26×)
Is it being collected? collection is steady 19 days to collect, up 2 in a year · cash cycle 5,305 days
Who has been buying? the promoters have held steady promoters 52.9%, 52.3% → 52.9% over 2.8 years · FIIs 6.1% (−2.0) · DIIs 26.0% (+1.4) · shareholders 1,02,773 → 1,22,305
What does it earn on its capital? earns little on its capital ROCE 6.9% · ROE 4.2%

Fetched from the filings, not typed — and deliberately not part of the score. These are the questions the score cannot ask: it reads growth, price and trend, so a company can score well while its profit never becomes cash. Weigh these beside the note, not against the number.

Screener's own checklist not mine, not the score

In its favour

  • Company is expected to give good quarter
  • Company has delivered good profit growth of 25.4% CAGR over last 5 years
  • Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 41.7%
  • Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 52.6 days to 34.7 days

Against it

  • Stock is trading at 2.74 times its book value
  • Company has a low return on equity of 3.15% over last 3 years.
  • Earnings include an other income of Rs.196 Cr.

Generated by screener.in from a fixed checklist — not written by me and not an input to the score. It is here as a second machine opinion to weigh against the note; where it disagrees with the view above, the note is the considered one.