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●PositiveTier 1

TD Power SystemsNSE:TDPOWERSYS

Power · ₹21,858 Cr market cap · covered for 1 quarter since Q4 2026

Current view Q4 2026

Makes generators for gas power plants, with booming demand from AI data centres; order book more than doubled and management keeps beating its own targets. Caveats: very expensive stock and founders selling down heavily.

Latest exchange filings last 5 · 5 after Q4 2026

Exchange filings, with the company's own one-line summary, read off the same page as the figures. Screener publishes only the most recent few, so this is the last 5 — not everything filed since your note, and a quiet-looking list is not proof of a quiet quarter. A filing is marked new when it is dated after the end of the quarter your note covers. Not scored, and not a judgement — a routine repayment notice and a takeover sit in the same list.

AI concall report · Q4 2026

The full earnings-call read behind this view — what management promised, what they delivered, and the earning trigger.

✨ Read the report ↗

Growth Q4 2026

Metric This year vs lastYoY · vs Q4 2025 vs the quarter beforeQoQ, sequential · vs Q3 2026 3-year yearly average3Y CAGR · compounded 5-year yearly average5Y CAGR · compounded
Sales▲ +69.3%+33.0%+28.6%+25.6%
Operating profit▲ +50.8%+22.5%+31.9%+32.5%
EPS▲ +35.9%+28.3%+35.1%+39.2%
PAT▲ +35.9%+28.6%——

Tinted rows drive the Tier. Tier = the weaker of YoY Sales and YoY PAT growth. Here the weaker is PAT at +35.9%, which is ≥ 20% → Tier 1.

QoQ is sequential, not a trend. For most Indian companies the March quarter is seasonally the largest, so a June-quarter fall against it is a calendar effect. Only the YoY column feeds the Tier.

Multibagger potential Average58/100

Growing fast — and the market has noticed. Profit per share grew 35% a year, and buyers now pay more for each rupee of it than they did a year ago. Some of the re-pricing has already happened.

It could double even as the price-tag on its earnings shrinks

₹722 → ₹1,444 needs the P/E at 77× — it is 95× today, and has ranged 25× to 118× over the last 5 years. The rest would come from earnings growing as they have.

If this keeps up for 3 more years ×1.1 +11% — profit growing 35% a year, and buyers paying 42× for it again

What you pay for its profitlog scale · 5-year range

25×5-year low 43×usual level 77×to double 95×today 115×to triple 118×5-year high

Tripling needs 115× — it has traded there — high was 118×.

The Multibaggerearnings climbing and buyers already paying more for them⚠ absolute stretch
Is it cheap right now?P/E 95× is 2.23× its own 5-year average of 42× — far above it; forward PEG 1.99 — dear for its growth 2/25
Has the market paid for this growth yet?ΔMultiple ×1.32 a year (×2.29 over 3 years) — re-rate underway — late 2/15
Is the growth real, or flattered?mostly sales-backed; QoQ holding 26/30
What does it earn on its own money?earns 22% on its own book — good 8/10
Is the price trend agreeing?above all three EMAs — accumulation 20/20
Price vs its book value 21.0×P/B — ₹34 of book value per share
Price vs next year’s profit 70×forward P/E — what an entry pays now
Price over the last year ×1.78earnings ×1.35, price-tag ×1.32
At what price this changes
Average from ₹582 to ₹2,885 · now ₹722
below ₹575 → Weak

At ₹324 the price-tag on its earnings reaches the 42× it is being projected toward — the point where being cheap against that yardstick is used up.

Re-rated already, on growth that doesn't fully back it.

How this is calculated

This is arithmetic, not a forecast — Return = ΔEPS × ΔMultiple. It says what would have to be true, not how likely it is, and "earnings keep growing at this rate for three more years" is the assumption doing the most work. This is a mid-cap at ₹21,858 cr, so the odds of a re-rate are not fighting its own size.

Growth rate used: 35.1% — the weakest of EPS / Sales / Op-profit from 3-year EPS CAGR. Latest quarter reads 36%.

How it compares with its rivals Power · 6 of 46 listed

These are the industry's largest names rather than companies of its own size, so the columns are worth reading straight across — a ranking against them would only be restating the size gap.

Company PriceP/ESizeROCE Profitlast qtr Saleslast qtr
TD Power Systems ₹760 86.3× ₹23,751 Cr 34.0% +72.3% +72.1%
A B B ₹7,188 98.8× ₹1.52 L Cr 29.9% +8.0% +21.0%
B H E L ₹432 61.9× ₹1.50 L Cr 9.1% +182.7% +40.3%
CG Power & Ind ₹907 112.4× ₹1.43 L Cr 26.7% +16.3% +14.0%
Hitachi Energy ₹31,820 119.1× ₹1.42 L Cr 29.4% +123.5% +68.6%
Siemens ₹3,801 90.0× ₹1.35 L Cr 21.4% −18.6% +14.8%

Screener's own peer group, from the request already made for the industry P/E. It serves the industry's largest names by market cap, not companies of a similar size, so treat this as context rather than a like-for-like table; this company is always shown. On a phone the price, size and sales columns are dropped rather than pushed off the edge. Not part of the score.

Business quality to Jun 2026

Are the margins widening? broadly flat operating margin 18% → 19% over 3 years
Did the profit turn into cash? under half — much of the profit is tied up 59% last year, 57% over three · free cash flow ₹19 cr, positive in 3 of 5 years
Is the growth borrowed? essentially debt-free ₹18 cr — 0.02× its own equity (was 0.01×)
Is it being collected? customers are taking longer to pay 146 days to collect, up 21 in a year · cash cycle 173 days
Who has been buying? the promoters have held steady promoters 26.9%, 34.3% → 26.9% over 2.8 years · FIIs 26.2% (+2.5) · DIIs 23.9% (−1.4) · shareholders 51,763 → 1,34,081
What does it earn on its capital? earns a high return on the capital it employs ROCE 34.0% · ROE 24.7%

Fetched from the filings, not typed — and deliberately not part of the score. These are the questions the score cannot ask: it reads growth, price and trend, so a company can score well while its profit never becomes cash. Weigh these beside the note, not against the number.

Screener's own checklist not mine, not the score

In its favour

  • Company is almost debt free.
  • Company is expected to give good quarter
  • Company has delivered good profit growth of 43.4% CAGR over last 5 years

Against it

  • Stock is trading at 22.1 times its book value
  • Promoter holding has decreased over last 3 years: -31.6%

Generated by screener.in from a fixed checklist — not written by me and not an input to the score. It is here as a second machine opinion to weigh against the note; where it disagrees with the view above, the note is the considered one.